Search this Topic:
October 11, 2008 3:46 PM
October 11, 2008 3:53 PM
October 11, 2008 4:09 PM
October 11, 2008 4:10 PM
October 11, 2008 4:11 PM
October 17, 2008 2:34 PM
Wisconsin is coming off a beat down at the
hands of Penn State on its very own Camp Randall turf. It was not pretty. I
haven't left a Badger game early in maybe a decade and was out by the beginning of the fourth quarter. This team
had its weaknesses exposed the previous two weeks and they were laid bare without exception last Saturday night.
Iowa is coming off its most impressive
performance of the year, a convincing 45 to 9 win over the Indiana Hoosiers. They looked good, but then again it was
Indiana. Lots of teams will get a dose of get well against the Hoosiers this year.
UW Offensive Line v. Iowa Defensive Line
The UW offensive line has struggled the last three weeks against very good
defensive lines. It will be interesting to see how they respond. The Hawks DL is good, but not in the same class with
Michigan or Penn State. The Badgers may be missing starters Carimi and Urbick.
That makes this a tougher call. Moffit has player the best of the OL starters.
The strength of the Iowa DL is in the middle with Mitch King and Matt
Kroul. The Badgers have struggled against this duo the last two years. Iowa
has 11 sacks on the year and allows 3.10 yards per rush and opponents average under 100 yards rushing per game.
The loss of Urbik in this game is particularly important due to the presence of
King and Kroul in the middle. Key matchups are Nagy, Moffit, and Kemp against King and Kroul. With Urbick and Carimi out the Hawks definitely have an edge.
UW Backfield v. Iowa Linebackers
Big Bad John Clay is being brought along slowly.
I'm sure there are reasons for this. Clay has the feet and size to be a difference maker in a game like
this. P.J. runs hard and Brown has preformed well. The problem this group is
having is the eight in the box defenses they have been consistently seeing. Until UW can throw the ball with some
efficiency the backfield will have to deal with an extra defender.
The Iowa backers are good not great players.
These are big backers who maybe lack the foot speed UW has seen the last few weeks. Key matchup is Angerer
against Clay and Hill. You want to make these backers run.
UW QB and Receivers v. Iowa Secondary
This is an unknown, because I have no idea who will start at QB for
UW. Evridge has lost confidence so I think it's more likely D. Sherer will take the reigns. Either way, Graham and Beckum have to play a big role and provide a comfort zone with the short and intermediate
It's not a great Iowa secondary, but they do have four interceptions on the
year and the linebackers have four. Again not as fast as what the Badgers have seen the last few weeks. The bottom line is that Iowa's secondary is playing with some confidence while UW's passing game is in
disarray. Key matchup is UW's tight ends against the Iowa linebackers and safeties.
If Graham and Beckum are both healthy the plus for Iowa here could flip-flop to UW quicker than an economic recovery plan.
Iowa Offensive Line v. UW Defensive
Iowa's line is playing
well. Two backs, Greene and Hampton had 100 yard games a week ago, which is a reflection of good line play.
UW's defensive line has been getting worn down. However, the match up against a traditional formation offense should help. The starting
four is solid but they get little relief from the bench. Bytrum, Moore and Neguzu need to play more this
Iowa Backfield v. UW Linebackers
Greene is a good big ten back, who has plenty of power and some speed to go
along with his size. He injured an ankle last week but played through. He may
be fine or he may have swelled after the game. The second stringer, Hampton, is a freshman. Stanzi is not a runner.
I like the matchup here for the quicker UW linebackers. The defensive line needs to tie things up and keep the UW backers clean to the play. Levy
and Casillias will have a speed advantage and may be able to force a turnover or two. Not the challenge of a running QB
Key matchup is Green against McFadden in the middle.
Iowa QB and Receivers v. UW Secondary
Like UW this is not a strong suit for Iowa.
Stanzi is completing 64% of his passes, but it tends to be a short to intermediate game. Leading receivers are
Brodell and Johnson-Koulianous. The latter has good speed but lacks size.
Brodell does everything right but lacks great speed. He reminds me a bit of Luke Swan.
UW plays a soft zone and tries to avoid giving up the big play. This was a successful strategy until last week. The corners may be the
strength. Langford, Brinkley and Goins have been providing good coverage.
Someone needs to step up and make a play.
Key matchup is Brodell against Langford.
Both are solid players who won't beat themselves. Langford usually has a speed deficit, but not the case versus
Both teams' special units are performing well. Although UW gave up a TD on a punt return last week. Still waiting for Gilreath to take
one the distance. Nortman must bounce back from a couple bad punts last week.
Iowa may try to pressure. The field goal kickers are both converting a high percentage.
Looking at the stats for this one, Iowa seems to have a small edge in the
average yard per rush and also defending the rush. The Iowa passing game is more efficient right now. Iowa lacks great team speed overall and had not played anyone of note. UW should be
playing at a higher RPM. Time of possession will be big here. TOP has been huge
the past three years for the Badgers. At this point they are barely winning that battle over their opponents with a
30.39 advantage per contest. That stat alone is very telling. Iowa it at 32.00
TOP per game. Saturday I expect both teams to crowd the box and force the other team to beat them throwing the
ball. I don't think either team is efficient enough to win throwing it.
Hence, I think this boils down to a field position, defensive game. The punters
will play a big role. The team that wins the turnover battle should prevail.
Both teams are dead even in turnover margin. The pluses are three Iowa, two UW, and two pushes. I think UW finds a way to capitalize on their speed advantage in this game. Badgers bounce
October 17, 2008 2:38 PM
"Cold pizza is for assholes. If the delivery guy brought it cold, you'd kick him in the fucking nuts."
October 17, 2008 3:09 PM
October 17, 2008 3:13 PM
"I forget what 8 was for."
October 17, 2008 4:13 PM
October 17, 2008 5:10 PM
The Head of Alfredo Garcia
October 17, 2008 5:35 PM
Republicans apparently love government so much they're buying it.
October 17, 2008 6:10 PM
October 17, 2008 8:22 PM
I think first team that reaches 20 points, wins.
Unfortunately I don't have a good vibe for the game. Stanzi has had a few games to get his feet wet, Sherer has none. We have 2 O linemen out, Iowa's
defense is strongest at D line. Our smallish LBs are built to stop speed offenses...Shonn Greene seems to be a north south guy who can shed blocks, a faster
PJ Hill, if you will. We never play well at Kinnick stadium. Clay will still not get his 20-25 carries per game.
I see an ugly 20-7 loss, more kvetching about BB's coaching and calls to fire him. I hope I'm wrong.
October 17, 2008 9:20 PM
October 17, 2008 11:18 PM
October 18, 2008 7:59 AM
Another fine analysis by Bob, but I think RX's summary has a lot in it, and I agree with that.
"I think first team that reaches 20 points, wins"
The qb situation is an unbelievably frustrating one. You have two qb's that in Spring and Fall have been only adequate, and relatively
close in ability/potential. And now we're turning to the guy who was #2. It's fair given the performance of #1, but to me #2 has little upside
(particularly in the scrambling, rushing dept) and I just don't feel good about it. I wish we'd give #1 one more game to see if he can get the offense
going, but I don't feel strong about it.
October 18, 2008 11:51 AM
October 18, 2008 3:13 PM
October 18, 2008 3:49 PM
© 2013 Yuku. All rights reserved.